Well, really! I go on holiday for a couple of weeks* and come back to find the ceasefire in the Downing Street civil war has failed and everyone is briefing against everyone else again. As the NuLab Conference approaches the insults have become muffled, but there's plenty of jostling for position and some dodgy-sounding briefing.
No 10 has announced a series of 'policy reviews' to try to ensure Blairism lasts for ever, just when everyone thought he was on the way out. The announcement came after the 'failed coup' which Gordon claims he knew nothing about. Gordon says – perhaps though gritted teeth – that Blair is his friend. Hoon says Blair must go sooner rather than later: "Labour could be in a very bad place at the next general election if Tony Blair does not quit as leader by May". Milburn (who left in 2003 to spend more time with his family) has given a wide ranging PM-candidate type speech containing all sorts of off message proposals including local income tax and proportional representation for Westminster elections. Hewitt says the public should be able to vote for the next Labour leader, with contenders taking part in a series of debates; presumably we would vote in the manner of Strictly Come Dancing, with a jolly chap like Graham Norton announcing the phone numbers and the eliminated contenders.
But what of the man himself? One thing is certain: he'll jump, he won't be pushed. So he has to make an announcement. If he names the day, countdown clocks will be set up everywhere, and any public appearance, especially in the Commons, would be laughable. If he doesn't name the day, the jostling and briefing and back-stabbing will continue, and even he ought to be able to see that that's no good for his party and his all-important legacy. Everyone knows he'll go before the local and other elections next May.
Blair loves the big surprise announcement, the gasp from the crowd, the adulation. The cameras will be there next Tuesday, the commentators ready to pick at every word of his speech. It could be the perfect moment to say "I resign". Wrapped up in a lot of mumbo jumbo, of course.
[* Yes, I know it's been a lot longer than a couple of weeks since I blogged, but the trouble with going away is the heap of work and email that builds up for when you come back.]