Blair is increasingly isolated in his refusal to call for a ceasefire in Lebanon, both at home and on the world stage (and more about the stage later). And what I've found interesting in recent days is the number of 'senior' people, who normally work somewhat in the background as advisers or diplomats, who have gone public to say that he's wrong.
These are people who have made careers of studying and implementing the minutiae of foreign policy. They know in advance the short term and long term effects of a particular action or inaction. They know what they're talking about.
For example Sir Stephen Wall – formerly one of Blair's foreign policy advisers – was interviewed by Jon Snow on Channel 4 News on Thursday. He said the UK should do whatever it can to obtain a ceasefire right now, on humanitarian grounds. He pointed out that Israel's attacks on Lebanon were futile anyway, because they wouldn't destroy Hezbollah. And he warned of the very real dangers of terrorist reaction here.
He amplifies some of this in a New Statesman piece about Blair's overdependence on Bush's coat-tails, dated (for some reason) next Monday:
"There are times, such as the past two weeks, when a British prime minister should have been thinking less about private influence and more about public advocacy. Could the Prime Minister really not speak up for the simple proposition that the slaughter of innocent people in Lebanon, the destruction of their country and the ruin of half a million lives were wrong and should stop immediately?"
Then Friday night Sir Harold Walker – UK Ambassador to Iraq in 1990/1991 and still with a strong interest in the Middle East – was on BBC News 24 discussing Blair's (then current) trip to Washington. Strongly denying Blair was Bush's poodle, he said he could and should do far more than he is to secure an immediate end to the bombing, regardless of the US position.
Meanwhile, the Financial Times reports that Phyllis Starkey, a former Foreign Office aide, told the BBC that Blair's judgment was wrong: "The prime minister has a far too rosy view of the tactics of the Israeli government and does not take a strong enough line with them in telling them when they are going against international law."
The FT adds that "dissent at home over US and UK strategy [is] mounting. One senior minister told the Financial Times of high levels of unease within the cabinet over 'wanton destruction' in the Middle East and Britain's failure to call for an immediate halt to the fighting."
Tony Lloyd, a former Foreign Office minister and a moderate voice on the Labour back benches, said: "Most people would be entirely unconvinced that Bush is being persuaded even remotely by the prime minister... We should have been loudly voicing our concern at the extraordinary levels of violence and should have been asking for a ceasefire."
Saturday's Times front page reported:
Even Mr Blair’s own Cabinet ministers have been privately critical of his handling of the crisis, with one saying that it "could be the end of him". The Times disclosed yesterday that David Miliband, the Environment Secretary, and Lord Grocott, Chief Whip in the Lords – both of whom are staunch Blairites – spoke out against his position at last Thursday’s Cabinet meeting...
Labour backbenchers were not impressed by the meeting. An ultra-Blairite MP said last night: "This is incredibly damaging for Tony. It is not really because people think that we are doing the Americans' bidding. What is dawning on the Parliamentary Labour Party is that Tony Blair actually believes this, and that almost makes it worse. He is now losing goodwill at a pace that is amazing."...
David Winnick, MP for Walsall North, said: "Every day that the conflict continues gladdens the heart of al-Qaeda and its fellow travellers and apologists. A large number of people in this country want it made clear that what Israel is doing is unacceptable."
Alan Simpson, MP for Nottingham South, added: "The press conference just added insult to injury. Blair and Bush are now alone in their own theatre of the absurd. It is like a plan to offer counselling after a hanging – the corpse is not too interested in what they have to offer."
And tonight the former Foreign Secretary Jack Straw is reported to have gone off message in a statement to Muslim community leaders in his Blackburn constituency last week. The Sunday Times reports:
Straw voiced the concerns of several cabinet colleagues, saying: "Disproportionate action only escalates an already dangerous situation... One of many serious concerns I have is that the continuation of such tactics by the Israelis could further destabilise the already fragile Lebanese nation."
Why does Blair do it? Does he really believe – as that ultra-Blairite MP suggested – that it's a good thing for thousands of Lebanese to be killed, injured or displaced in the hope of taking out a few terrorists? Is he labouring under the ilusilusion that his talk and delaying tactics will eventually create lasting peace in the Middle East, so that the historians will finally write good of him?
Or is it just that he likes to be near the centre of attention on the world stage, to catch a little reflected limelight? He is after all an impressive actor – good at learning lines, good at changing character to suit the audience of the moment.